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Benfica vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips and Preview

Benfica vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips and Preview
Tuesday, 6 December 2016
19:45

Benfica take on Napoli in a televised Champions League match this Tuesday. Read the match predictions to find out why a home win is the betting tip at Estadio da Luz. Benfica may have had one eye on this fixture when slipping to a surprise 2-1 defeat away to Maritimo on Friday. Meanwhile, Napoli ran out comfortable 3-0 winners at home to Internazionale.

Benfica vs Napoli Preview

Benfica are set to name Andre Almeida as a makeshift left-back, with both Alex Grimaldo and Eliseu out injured. Andre Horta is almost out while Jonas is doubtful and Andreas Samaris is one booking away from a suspension. Goncalo Guedes has been among the goals in this competition and will once again start alongside Kostas Mitroglou in attack.

Napoli have just a single injury concern, with Arkadiusz Milik set to miss out. Dries Mertens will return to the starting XI after serving a domestic ban on Friday. He’ll be joined by Jose Callejon and Lorenzo Insigne in a 3-man attack.

Team Predictions Benfica vs Napoli

Benfica 4-4-2 formation: Moraes; Almeida, Lindelof, Luisao, Nelsinho; Cervi, Fejsa, Pizzi, Salvio; Mitroglou, Guedes

Napoli 4-3-3 formation: Reina; Ghoulam, Koulibaly, Chiriches, Hysaj; Allan, Jorginho, Hamsik; Insigne, Mertens, Callejon

Benfica vs Napoli Betting Tips

  • Benfica have won 7 drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches
  • Napoli have won 4 drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches
  • Over the course of their previous 10 matches, Benfica have scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded an average of 0.7 goals per game
  • Over the course of their previous 10 matches, Napoli have scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded an average of 1.0 goals per game
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Benfica’s previous 10 matches
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Napoli’s previous 10 matches

Benfica vs Napoli Prediction

Benfica were made to pay for taking their foot off the gas in their last Champions League outing. The Portuguese league leaders went 0-3 up away to Besiktas but allowed the Turkish side back into the game. That result leaves them needing a win to be sure of making the last 16, though this match could become a straight battle for top-spot if Besiktas slip up away to Dynamo Kiev.

Napoli won the reverse fixture 4-2 and can qualify with a draw as a result. However, they’ve failed to produce a Champions League win in 3 matches since that success and their away form is less than convincing, with 2 wins from the last 6 games on the road in all competitions.

Benfica are a tough nut to crack on their own turf, exemplified by a 20-1 aggregate score across 6 consecutive home victories in all competitions. Rui Vitoria’s side can’t afford to rely on results elsewhere and the fact that Napoli can play for a draw is likely to work in their favour. I expect the visitors to sit back and invite pressure and Benfica can exploit that.

Free Betting Tips

Match Prediction

BENFICA at 8/5 with Betfair

Over/Under Prediction

OVER 2.5 goals at Evs with Betfair

Correct Score Prediction

BENFICA 2-1 at 9/1 with BetVictor

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